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Red84
125929.8
120832.4
431414.9
Blue136
465555.2
348839.1
64827.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6592020408010012014016084136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+32
Endgame+50
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points30
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +29
10Coral scored#11
37Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
6Processor points12
8Net points28
14Algae points40
51Total teleop80
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points2
84Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
#25
32.41.4
22.523.9
Auto6.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0
blue by 22.8
55.25.8
29.034.8
Auto14.2
Teleop33.9
End7.1
Second
1259
#24
29.82.4
23.325.7
Auto8.4
Teleop17.5
End4.0
blue by 9.3
39.15.8
26.432.2
Auto6.4
Teleop28.7
End4.0
Third
4314
#31
14.92.4
16.719.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End-0.8
blue by 12.3
648
#33
27.25.8
26.432.2
Auto5.8
Teleop16.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned