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Red143
414361.5
415625.2
173644.4
Blue185
442336.6
175672.1
1043541.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161286080100140160180143185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+32
Endgame+34
Fouls+42
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave6
5Coral scored#5
25Coral points24
31Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +33
19Coral scored#21
70Coral points77
2Processor algae#5
4Net algae#6
12Processor points30
16Net points24
28Algae points54
98Total teleop131
Reef
9L4#9
7L3#7
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points8
143Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.53.1
46.049.1
Auto14.3
Teleop38.3
End8.9
blue by 10.7
72.13.5
68.672.1
Auto10.9
Teleop52.0
End9.2
Second
44.41.9
42.444.2
Auto9.4
Teleop34.3
End0.8
red by 2.9
41.65.8
21.927.6
Auto4.5
Teleop31.0
End6.0
Third
4156
#20
25.23.1
15.618.7
Auto5.3
Teleop17.1
End2.8
blue by 11.4
36.65.8
23.329.1
Auto8.3
Teleop27.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned48%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned