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Red131
464522.4
286143.6
409635.1
Blue91
203911.3
642133.7
202243.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1049240608012014016018013191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
12Coral scored#12
44Coral points44
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
78Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
26Foul points2
131Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2861
#11
43.60.5
44.845.3
Auto8.1
Teleop27.6
End7.9
red by 0.4
2022
#10
43.30.1
32.132.3
Auto4.1
Teleop37.1
End2.1
Second
4096
#19
35.10.8
22.923.7
Auto11.0
Teleop23.1
End1.0
red by 1.4
6421
#12
33.70.1
26.326.4
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End6.1
Third
4645
#28
22.40.8
23.924.7
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End3.0
red by 11.1
2039
#34
11.30.1
24.124.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned