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Red77
741729.4
125929.8
204037.5
Blue127
784829.0
584749.2
888031.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871215010015020077127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+40
Endgame+32
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +30
8Coral scored#14
30Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
50Total teleop80
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#5
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#24
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points18
77Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2040
#16
37.51.0
35.734.7
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.5
blue by 11.7
5847
#14
49.20.1
36.336.1
Auto11.3
Teleop36.9
End1.0
Second
1259
#24
29.81.0
25.724.7
Auto8.4
Teleop17.5
End4.0
blue by 1.6
8880
#30
31.40.1
30.630.5
Auto3.0
Teleop25.4
End3.0
Third
7417
#22
29.41.0
19.518.5
Auto4.7
Teleop23.6
End1.0
red by 0.3
7848
#17
29.00.1
37.237.1
Auto5.2
Teleop17.7
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned