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Red136
623729.9
908231.3
421353.4
Blue72
544226.9
247035.4
809616.8
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828805010015013672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+28Teleop
+40Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +24
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points38
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
76Total teleop52
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
24Foul points0
136Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4213
#13
53.42.4
36.138.5
Auto10.7
Teleop39.3
End3.3
red by 17.9
2470
#32
35.40.9
31.130.2
Auto6.6
Teleop26.8
End2.0
Second
9082
#15
31.34.0
18.922.8
Auto5.7
Teleop22.4
End3.1
red by 4.4
5442
#21
26.90.9
25.124.2
Auto6.3
Teleop19.8
End0.8
Third
29.94.0
21.425.4
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.1
red by 13.1
8096
#35
16.80.9
23.923.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed