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Red147
270424.6
359621.3
248195.4
Blue113
465555.2
235824.3
113857.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13910450150200147113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+32Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points7
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
13Coral scored#16
46Coral points59
2Processor algae#2
9Net algae#3
12Processor points12
36Net points12
48Algae points24
94Total teleop83
Reef
4L4#7
7L3#3
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
147Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.41.2
89.690.9
Auto22.2
Teleop60.9
End12.3
red by 38.2
57.20.6
48.449.0
Auto7.5
Teleop41.8
End7.9
Second
2704
#29
24.62.1
18.720.8
Auto4.8
Teleop18.1
End1.7
blue by 30.6
55.20.9
34.835.7
Auto14.2
Teleop33.9
End7.1
Third
3596
#27
21.32.1
20.222.2
Auto4.6
Teleop14.7
End2.0
blue by 3.0
2358
#23
24.30.9
21.322.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned