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Red109
125929.8
1043541.6
888031.4
Blue138
544226.9
414361.5
464522.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89112406080100120140160180109138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+11
Endgame+21
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +4
15Coral scored#15
53Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#6
12Processor points6
16Net points24
28Algae points30
81Total teleop85
Reef
8L4#9
5L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
6Foul points14
109Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.61.0
27.628.6
Auto4.5
Teleop31.0
End6.0
blue by 19.9
61.51.6
49.150.7
Auto14.3
Teleop38.3
End8.9
Second
8880
#30
31.41.0
30.531.5
Auto3.0
Teleop25.4
End3.0
red by 4.5
5442
#21
26.91.6
24.225.8
Auto6.3
Teleop19.8
End0.8
Third
1259
#24
29.81.0
24.725.7
Auto8.4
Teleop17.5
End4.0
red by 7.5
4645
#28
22.41.6
24.726.4
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned