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Red30
665131.9
235824.3
64827.2
Blue89
415625.2
113857.2
409635.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8110040601201401603089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+59
Endgame+57
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +38
1Coral scored#8
5Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
5Total teleop43
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#4
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points2
30Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6651
#18
31.95.1
21.616.5
Auto4.3
Teleop25.0
End2.6
blue by 25.2
57.20.3
49.048.7
Auto7.5
Teleop41.8
End7.9
Second
648
#33
27.25.1
32.227.1
Auto5.8
Teleop16.8
End4.7
blue by 7.9
4096
#19
35.10.5
23.723.2
Auto11.0
Teleop23.1
End1.0
Third
2358
#23
24.35.1
22.317.1
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End6.8
blue by 0.9
4156
#20
25.20.5
18.718.2
Auto5.3
Teleop17.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned