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Red137
247035.4
465555.2
908231.3
Blue134
642133.7
204037.5
421353.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931096080100120140160137134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+11Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points37
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +25
19Coral scored#15
68Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
6Processor points12
24Net points8
30Algae points20
98Total teleop73
Reef
12L4#9
4L3#5
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
137Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.25.4
35.741.1
Auto14.2
Teleop33.9
End7.1
red by 1.8
4213
#13
53.42.3
38.540.8
Auto10.7
Teleop39.3
End3.3
Second
2470
#32
35.45.4
30.235.5
Auto6.6
Teleop26.8
End2.0
blue by 2.0
2040
#16
37.53.8
34.738.5
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.5
Third
9082
#15
31.35.4
22.828.2
Auto5.7
Teleop22.4
End3.1
blue by 2.4
6421
#12
33.72.3
26.428.6
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned