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Red107
415625.2
203911.3
442336.6
Blue158
741729.4
623729.9
175672.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71138050100150200107158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+27
Fouls+51
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +26
17Coral scored#19
62Coral points68
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
6Processor points18
4Net points12
10Algae points30
72Total teleop98
Reef
8L4#10
6L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
6Foul points30
107Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.62.2
31.633.8
Auto8.3
Teleop27.0
End1.4
blue by 35.6
72.10.1
70.870.7
Auto10.9
Teleop52.0
End9.2
Second
4156
#20
25.22.2
18.220.4
Auto5.3
Teleop17.1
End2.8
blue by 4.7
29.90.2
27.927.7
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.1
Third
2039
#34
11.32.2
20.022.2
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 18.1
7417
#22
29.40.2
20.320.0
Auto4.7
Teleop23.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned38%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned