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Red102
584749.2
464522.4
908231.3
Blue110
235824.3
421353.4
120832.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10287050150200102110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+14
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points4
19Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +8
18Coral scored#18
65Coral points65
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
75Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
6Foul points0
102Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5847
#14
49.20.4
37.938.3
Auto11.3
Teleop36.9
End1.0
blue by 4.1
4213
#13
53.41.9
40.842.6
Auto10.7
Teleop39.3
End3.3
Second
9082
#15
31.30.4
28.228.6
Auto5.7
Teleop22.4
End3.1
blue by 1.1
1208
#25
32.41.9
24.025.8
Auto6.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0
Third
4645
#28
22.40.4
26.426.8
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End3.0
blue by 1.9
2358
#23
24.33.1
17.120.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned