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Red96
173644.4
544226.9
348839.1
Blue82
64827.2
642133.7
464522.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11188501001502009682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+28Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave6
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points10
17Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +27
12Coral scored#10
43Coral points36
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#1
12Processor points12
24Net points4
36Algae points16
79Total teleop52
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
96Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.40.2
41.741.5
Auto9.4
Teleop34.3
End0.8
red by 10.7
6421
#12
33.70.0
28.628.6
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End6.1
Second
39.10.3
31.130.8
Auto6.4
Teleop28.7
End4.0
red by 11.9
648
#33
27.20.1
27.127.1
Auto5.8
Teleop16.8
End4.7
Third
5442
#21
26.90.3
25.825.5
Auto6.3
Teleop19.8
End0.8
red by 4.6
4645
#28
22.40.1
26.826.7
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned