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Red122
173644.4
584749.2
465555.2
Blue102
286143.6
348839.1
415625.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14310150200250122102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+24Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +14
16Coral scored#11
58Coral points40
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#4
12Processor points24
24Net points16
36Algae points40
94Total teleop80
Reef
5L4#4
8L3#3
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
122Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.21.7
48.346.6
Auto14.2
Teleop33.9
End7.1
red by 11.6
2861
#11
43.60.3
42.442.1
Auto8.1
Teleop27.6
End7.9
Second
5847
#14
49.21.8
38.336.5
Auto11.3
Teleop36.9
End1.0
red by 10.1
39.10.5
30.830.3
Auto6.4
Teleop28.7
End4.0
Third
44.41.2
41.540.3
Auto9.4
Teleop34.3
End0.8
red by 19.2
4156
#20
25.20.5
22.722.2
Auto5.3
Teleop17.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned32%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsMissed