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Red154
421353.4
544226.9
784829.0
Blue172
442336.6
741729.4
113857.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10511180100120140160154172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +26
23Coral scored#25
82Coral points90
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#7
12Processor points18
16Net points28
28Algae points46
110Total teleop136
Reef
11L4#10
7L3#8
7L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
34Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
154Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4213
#13
53.43.0
44.147.0
Auto10.7
Teleop39.3
End3.3
blue by 3.8
57.24.0
47.051.0
Auto7.5
Teleop41.8
End7.9
Second
7848
#17
29.04.3
30.835.1
Auto5.2
Teleop17.7
End6.1
blue by 7.5
36.65.7
29.635.3
Auto8.3
Teleop27.0
End1.4
Third
5442
#21
26.94.3
23.527.8
Auto6.3
Teleop19.8
End0.8
blue by 2.5
7417
#22
29.45.7
24.730.4
Auto4.7
Teleop23.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned