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Red112
409635.1
173644.4
359621.3
Blue35
623729.9
431414.9
203911.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1096905015020011235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+77Teleop
+71Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +63
14Coral scored#4
51Coral points14
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#0
12Processor points6
20Net points0
32Algae points6
83Total teleop20
Reef
8L4#3
6L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
25Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +77
6Foul points0
112Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.40.2
40.340.5
Auto9.4
Teleop34.3
End0.8
red by 14.6
29.93.4
29.526.0
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.1
Second
4096
#19
35.10.2
32.933.1
Auto11.0
Teleop23.1
End1.0
red by 20.3
4314
#31
14.93.4
15.912.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End-0.8
Third
3596
#27
21.30.2
21.221.5
Auto4.6
Teleop14.7
End2.0
red by 10.0
2039
#34
11.33.4
19.416.0
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
25%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed