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Red91
64827.2
286143.6
809616.8
Blue161
908231.3
414361.5
1043541.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921275015020091161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+58
Endgame+70
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +51
12Coral scored#23
43Coral points82
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
61Total teleop112
Reef
4L4#10
4L3#6
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
18Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points0
91Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2861
#11
43.60.1
42.142.0
Auto8.1
Teleop27.6
End7.9
blue by 17.8
61.54.5
50.955.4
Auto14.3
Teleop38.3
End8.9
Second
648
#33
27.20.1
24.324.2
Auto5.8
Teleop16.8
End4.7
blue by 14.4
41.64.5
32.837.3
Auto4.5
Teleop31.0
End6.0
Third
8096
#35
16.80.1
19.619.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.8
End3.5
blue by 14.5
9082
#15
31.34.5
25.830.3
Auto5.7
Teleop22.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned