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Red157
348839.1
248195.4
204037.5
Blue95
888031.4
464522.4
235824.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1757105010015020025015795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+74Teleop
+76Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points12
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +53
23Coral scored#10
82Coral points37
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
18Processor points6
8Net points12
26Algae points18
108Total teleop55
Reef
10L4#5
7L3#4
5L2#2
6L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points14
157Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.40.1
92.792.7
Auto22.2
Teleop60.9
End12.3
red by 64.0
8880
#30
31.40.0
29.629.6
Auto3.0
Teleop25.4
End3.0
Second
39.10.1
30.330.1
Auto6.4
Teleop28.7
End4.0
red by 14.9
2358
#23
24.30.0
22.122.1
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End6.8
Third
2040
#16
37.50.1
32.332.2
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.5
red by 15.1
4645
#28
22.40.0
26.726.7
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
74%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned