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Red98
1043541.6
642133.7
235824.3
Blue181
248195.4
465555.2
741729.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871905010015025030098181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+49
Teleop+95
Endgame+83
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +49
6Leave6
1Coral scored#10
3Coral points52
9Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +46
11Coral scored#20
41Coral points73
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
6Processor points12
16Net points24
22Algae points36
63Total teleop109
Reef
3L4#9
4L3#10
3L2#7
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#38
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
0Foul points0
98Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.4
37.336.9
Auto4.5
Teleop31.0
End6.0
blue by 53.8
95.40.0
92.792.6
Auto22.2
Teleop60.9
End12.3
Second
6421
#12
33.70.3
32.832.5
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End6.1
blue by 21.5
55.20.1
46.646.5
Auto14.2
Teleop33.9
End7.1
Third
2358
#23
24.30.4
22.121.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End6.8
blue by 5.1
7417
#22
29.40.1
30.430.4
Auto4.7
Teleop23.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed81%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned