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Red103
204037.5
908231.3
270424.6
Blue35
359621.3
784829.0
464522.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92944060708010011010335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+62Teleop
+50Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +52
10Coral scored#3
36Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#0
6Processor points0
20Net points0
26Algae points0
62Total teleop10
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
19Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
18Foul points0
103Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2040
#16
37.50.2
32.232.3
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.5
red by 8.4
7848
#17
29.04.3
35.130.8
Auto5.2
Teleop17.7
End6.1
Second
9082
#15
31.30.2
30.330.4
Auto5.7
Teleop22.4
End3.1
red by 8.9
4645
#28
22.44.3
26.722.4
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End3.0
Third
2704
#29
24.60.2
20.720.9
Auto4.8
Teleop18.1
End1.7
red by 3.3
3596
#27
21.34.3
21.517.2
Auto4.6
Teleop14.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned