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Red122
544226.9
286143.6
623729.9
Blue187
421353.4
348839.1
414361.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10315150200122187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+73
Endgame+65
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave3
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points34
20Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +56
17Coral scored#28
62Coral points102
0Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
0Processor points12
16Net points20
16Algae points32
78Total teleop134
Reef
6L4#15
8L3#7
4L2#8
3L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#42
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points0
122Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2861
#11
43.61.0
42.043.0
Auto8.1
Teleop27.6
End7.9
blue by 17.8
61.53.8
55.459.2
Auto14.3
Teleop38.3
End8.9
Second
29.91.3
26.027.3
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.1
blue by 23.5
4213
#13
53.42.9
47.049.9
Auto10.7
Teleop39.3
End3.3
Third
5442
#21
26.91.3
27.829.1
Auto6.3
Teleop19.8
End0.8
blue by 12.2
39.13.8
30.134.0
Auto6.4
Teleop28.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned25%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned