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Red155
247035.4
202243.3
584749.2
Blue109
431414.9
64827.2
173644.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1168150100150200155109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+48Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
9Leave6
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points11
33Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +32
24Coral scored#20
88Coral points72
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
118Total teleop86
Reef
11L4#9
9L3#6
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
155Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5847
#14
49.23.7
40.944.6
Auto11.3
Teleop36.9
End1.0
red by 4.8
44.41.4
40.541.9
Auto9.4
Teleop34.3
End0.8
Second
2022
#10
43.33.7
33.136.8
Auto4.1
Teleop37.1
End2.1
red by 16.1
648
#33
27.21.8
24.226.0
Auto5.8
Teleop16.8
End4.7
Third
2470
#32
35.43.7
28.031.7
Auto6.6
Teleop26.8
End2.0
red by 20.6
4314
#31
14.91.8
12.514.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned26%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed