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Red82
203911.3
464522.4
421353.4
Blue101
665131.9
784829.0
415625.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999605015020025030082101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+13
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +7
13Coral scored#12
45Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
59Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
6Foul points12
82Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4213
#13
53.40.8
49.949.1
Auto10.7
Teleop39.3
End3.3
red by 21.4
6651
#18
31.90.3
28.929.1
Auto4.3
Teleop25.0
End2.6
Second
4645
#28
22.41.0
22.421.4
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End3.0
blue by 6.7
7848
#17
29.00.3
30.831.1
Auto5.2
Teleop17.7
End6.1
Third
2039
#34
11.31.1
16.014.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 13.9
4156
#20
25.20.3
26.326.5
Auto5.3
Teleop17.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned