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Red52
544226.9
409635.1
203911.3
Blue144
584749.2
1043541.6
120832.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801275010015020052144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+78
Endgame+90
Fouls+92
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +71
6Coral scored#20
21Coral points72
1Processor algae#3
0Net algae#2
6Processor points18
0Net points8
6Algae points26
27Total teleop98
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#8
2L2#6
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +92
0Foul points2
52Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4096
#19
35.12.1
34.232.0
Auto11.0
Teleop23.1
End1.0
blue by 14.1
5847
#14
49.22.7
44.647.3
Auto11.3
Teleop36.9
End1.0
Second
5442
#21
26.92.1
29.127.0
Auto6.3
Teleop19.8
End0.8
blue by 14.7
41.62.7
36.939.6
Auto4.5
Teleop31.0
End6.0
Third
2039
#34
11.32.1
14.912.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 21.2
1208
#25
32.42.2
27.629.8
Auto6.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned