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Red97
431414.9
665131.9
442336.6
Blue75
348839.1
235824.3
809616.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87802040601001201401609775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+40Teleop
+16Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points13
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +36
12Coral scored#4
42Coral points16
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
66Total teleop30
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#3
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
6Foul points0
97Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.61.1
33.935.0
Auto8.3
Teleop27.0
End1.4
blue by 2.5
39.10.1
34.034.1
Auto6.4
Teleop28.7
End4.0
Second
6651
#18
31.91.1
29.130.2
Auto4.3
Teleop25.0
End2.6
red by 7.7
2358
#23
24.30.1
21.721.8
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End6.8
Third
4314
#31
14.91.1
14.315.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End-0.8
blue by 1.9
8096
#35
16.80.1
18.218.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned