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Red147
623729.9
173644.4
113857.2
Blue116
888031.4
359621.3
642133.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14280050100200147116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
2Coral scored#3
11Coral points16
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +27
23Coral scored#17
81Coral points62
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
113Total teleop86
Reef
8L4#10
6L3#3
8L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
147Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.21.0
52.153.1
Auto7.5
Teleop41.8
End7.9
red by 23.5
6421
#12
33.71.8
32.534.3
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End6.1
Second
44.41.0
41.942.8
Auto9.4
Teleop34.3
End0.8
red by 13.0
8880
#30
31.42.2
28.230.4
Auto3.0
Teleop25.4
End3.0
Third
29.91.2
27.328.5
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.1
red by 8.6
3596
#27
21.32.2
17.219.4
Auto4.6
Teleop14.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned