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Red185
465555.2
202243.3
204037.5
Blue105
247035.4
64827.2
270424.6
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13378050100150200185105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+68Teleop
+80Endgame
+80Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +68
27Coral scored#13
98Coral points46
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
12Processor points12
28Net points12
40Algae points24
138Total teleop70
Reef
13L4#5
7L3#4
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
24Cage & park12
24Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points0
185Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.24.9
46.551.5
Auto14.2
Teleop33.9
End7.1
red by 19.8
2470
#32
35.41.2
31.733.0
Auto6.6
Teleop26.8
End2.0
Second
2022
#10
43.34.9
36.841.7
Auto4.1
Teleop37.1
End2.1
red by 16.1
648
#33
27.21.2
26.027.2
Auto5.8
Teleop16.8
End4.7
Third
2040
#16
37.54.9
32.337.2
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.5
red by 12.9
2704
#29
24.61.2
20.922.1
Auto4.8
Teleop18.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed