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Red164
421353.4
465555.2
359621.3
Blue118
173644.4
464522.4
125929.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1359950150200250164118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+40Teleop
+42Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave6
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points18
30Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +34
25Coral scored#13
90Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#7
12Processor points6
12Net points28
24Algae points34
114Total teleop80
Reef
13L4#6
9L3#4
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
4Foul points0
164Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.21.9
51.553.4
Auto14.2
Teleop33.9
End7.1
red by 10.8
44.40.9
42.843.7
Auto9.4
Teleop34.3
End0.8
Second
4213
#13
53.41.7
49.150.8
Auto10.7
Teleop39.3
End3.3
red by 23.5
1259
#24
29.81.0
27.028.0
Auto8.4
Teleop17.5
End4.0
Third
3596
#27
21.31.9
19.421.3
Auto4.6
Teleop14.7
End2.0
blue by 1.1
4645
#28
22.41.0
21.422.4
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned26%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned