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Red42
809616.8
203911.3
784829.0
Blue107
64827.2
544226.9
584749.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6111905010015020042107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+65
Endgame+59
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave6
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points21
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +47
5Coral scored#14
19Coral points50
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
27Total teleop74
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#23
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points6
42Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7848
#17
29.01.5
31.129.6
Auto5.2
Teleop17.7
End6.1
blue by 20.2
5847
#14
49.20.0
47.347.3
Auto11.3
Teleop36.9
End1.0
Second
8096
#35
16.81.5
18.316.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.8
End3.5
blue by 10.4
648
#33
27.20.0
27.227.2
Auto5.8
Teleop16.8
End4.7
Third
2039
#34
11.31.5
12.811.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 15.6
5442
#21
26.90.0
27.026.9
Auto6.3
Teleop19.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed