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Red143
270424.6
113857.2
348839.1
Blue120
409635.1
247035.4
235824.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1188850100150200143120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+11Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +25
24Coral scored#13
85Coral points48
3Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
18Processor points18
8Net points20
26Algae points38
111Total teleop86
Reef
12L4#6
6L3#5
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#27
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
143Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.22.2
53.155.4
Auto7.5
Teleop41.8
End7.9
red by 21.7
2470
#32
35.42.5
33.035.4
Auto6.6
Teleop26.8
End2.0
Second
39.12.5
34.136.6
Auto6.4
Teleop28.7
End4.0
red by 4.0
4096
#19
35.12.5
32.034.5
Auto11.0
Teleop23.1
End1.0
Third
2704
#29
24.62.5
22.124.6
Auto4.8
Teleop18.1
End1.7
red by 0.4
2358
#23
24.32.5
21.824.2
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsMissed