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Red89
1043541.6
741729.4
431414.9
Blue133
120832.4
204037.5
623729.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9611140608012014016018089133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +12
16Coral scored#13
58Coral points48
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#4
6Processor points24
12Net points16
18Algae points40
76Total teleop88
Reef
5L4#7
7L3#4
4L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points18
89Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.5
39.639.0
Auto4.5
Teleop31.0
End6.0
red by 4.1
2040
#16
37.50.8
37.238.0
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.5
Second
7417
#22
29.40.5
29.929.4
Auto4.7
Teleop23.6
End1.0
blue by 3.1
1208
#25
32.40.7
29.830.5
Auto6.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0
Third
4314
#31
14.90.5
15.414.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End-0.8
blue by 15.0
29.90.8
28.529.3
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsMissed