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Red130
908231.3
202243.3
665131.9
Blue231
414361.5
442336.6
248195.4
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9821450150200250300130231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+59
Endgame+83
Fouls+101
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave0
3Coral scored#9
16Coral points44
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +31
18Coral scored#25
64Coral points89
3Processor algae#4
8Net algae#8
18Processor points24
32Net points32
50Algae points56
114Total teleop145
Reef
8L4#11
6L3#9
5L2#8
2L1 · trough#6
32Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +24
0Cage & park24
0Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +101
0Foul points18
130Total score231

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2022
#10
43.31.0
41.742.7
Auto4.1
Teleop37.1
End2.1
blue by 52.1
95.40.7
94.795.4
Auto22.2
Teleop60.9
End12.3
Second
6651
#18
31.91.0
30.231.2
Auto4.3
Teleop25.0
End2.6
blue by 29.5
61.50.8
58.759.5
Auto14.3
Teleop38.3
End8.9
Third
9082
#15
31.31.0
30.931.8
Auto5.7
Teleop22.4
End3.1
blue by 5.3
36.60.8
35.035.8
Auto8.3
Teleop27.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned