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Red90
784829.0
623729.9
465555.2
Blue70
409635.1
809616.8
584749.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90950501502002503003509070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+8
+2Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
27Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +15
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points38
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
31Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#7
5L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
18Foul points0
90Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.21.1
31.029.9
Auto14.2
Teleop33.9
End7.1
red by 6.0
5847
#14
49.21.7
30.328.6
Auto11.3
Teleop36.9
End1.0
Second
29.91.1
20.919.8
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.1
blue by 5.3
4096
#19
35.11.7
26.524.9
Auto11.0
Teleop23.1
End1.0
Third
7848
#17
29.01.1
30.129.0
Auto5.2
Teleop17.7
End6.1
red by 12.3
8096
#35
16.81.7
28.226.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed