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Red58
415625.2
120832.4
64827.2
Blue128
286143.6
113857.2
359621.3
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6612005010015020058128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+52
Endgame+64
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +45
8Coral scored#19
29Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
39Total teleop84
Reef
5L4#9
2L3#5
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
6Foul points12
58Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
#25
32.41.1
21.019.8
Auto6.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0
blue by 24.8
57.20.6
42.042.6
Auto7.5
Teleop41.8
End7.9
Second
648
#33
27.21.7
24.522.9
Auto5.8
Teleop16.8
End4.7
blue by 16.4
2861
#11
43.60.6
41.341.9
Auto8.1
Teleop27.6
End7.9
Third
4156
#20
25.21.7
19.017.3
Auto5.3
Teleop17.1
End2.8
red by 3.9
3596
#27
21.30.8
22.122.9
Auto4.6
Teleop14.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned