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Red163
204037.5
175672.1
173644.4
Blue164
202243.3
248195.4
544226.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133143050100200250300350163164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave0
4Coral scored#6
22Coral points30
31Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +12
19Coral scored#23
70Coral points84
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
18Processor points12
20Net points24
38Algae points36
108Total teleop120
Reef
8L4#10
6L3#11
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#37
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
163Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.12.6
64.967.6
Auto10.9
Teleop52.0
End9.2
blue by 23.3
95.42.2
82.985.1
Auto22.2
Teleop60.9
End12.3
Second
44.42.6
35.938.5
Auto9.4
Teleop34.3
End0.8
red by 1.2
2022
#10
43.33.6
25.128.7
Auto4.1
Teleop37.1
End2.1
Third
2040
#16
37.54.4
22.526.9
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.5
red by 10.6
5442
#21
26.93.6
23.627.2
Auto6.3
Teleop19.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsEarned36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned