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Red94
203911.3
584749.2
270424.6
Blue128
665131.9
414361.5
642133.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions908660708010011012094128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+18
Endgame+32
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave0
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points19
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +12
16Coral scored#19
59Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
79Total teleop91
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#5
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points2
94Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5847
#14
49.20.6
29.730.3
Auto11.3
Teleop36.9
End1.0
blue by 12.2
61.54.0
36.040.1
Auto14.3
Teleop38.3
End8.9
Second
2704
#29
24.60.6
25.325.9
Auto4.8
Teleop18.1
End1.7
blue by 9.1
6421
#12
33.72.9
20.623.6
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End6.1
Third
2039
#34
11.30.6
24.625.2
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 20.7
6651
#18
31.94.0
21.625.6
Auto4.3
Teleop25.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned