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Red216
175672.1
248195.4
235824.3
Blue150
113857.2
125929.8
465555.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203138100150250216150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+56Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points27
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +46
27Coral scored#21
96Coral points76
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#3
12Processor points6
32Net points12
44Algae points18
140Total teleop94
Reef
11L4#13
13L3#7
8L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
45Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
216Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.40.6
94.895.4
Auto22.2
Teleop60.9
End12.3
red by 38.2
57.20.2
56.756.9
Auto7.5
Teleop41.8
End7.9
Second
72.10.6
71.672.2
Auto10.9
Teleop52.0
End9.2
red by 16.9
55.20.2
54.855.0
Auto14.2
Teleop33.9
End7.1
Third
2358
#23
24.30.6
23.724.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End6.8
blue by 5.6
1259
#24
29.80.2
29.429.6
Auto8.4
Teleop17.5
End4.0