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Red138
584749.2
120832.4
414361.5
Blue128
173644.4
665131.9
442336.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162123100150200250138128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+2
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave9
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points15
30Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +8
19Coral scored#19
70Coral points68
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
94Total teleop102
Reef
6L4#8
6L3#6
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#29
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
138Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.50.1
61.060.9
Auto14.3
Teleop38.3
End8.9
red by 17.0
44.40.4
44.144.4
Auto9.4
Teleop34.3
End0.8
Second
5847
#14
49.20.1
48.748.7
Auto11.3
Teleop36.9
End1.0
red by 12.7
36.60.4
36.236.6
Auto8.3
Teleop27.0
End1.4
Third
1208
#25
32.40.1
31.931.9
Auto6.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0
red by 0.5
6651
#18
31.90.4
31.631.9
Auto4.3
Teleop25.0
End2.6