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Red179
421353.4
348839.1
1043541.6
Blue116
623729.9
202243.3
888031.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146112100200179116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+43Teleop
+55Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
29Coral scored#24
104Coral points85
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
132Total teleop103
Reef
8L4#9
11L3#6
8L2#7
5L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#29
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +63
8Foul points0
179Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4213
#13
53.40.6
52.352.9
Auto10.7
Teleop39.3
End3.3
red by 10.1
2022
#10
43.30.1
43.443.3
Auto4.1
Teleop37.1
End2.1
Second
41.60.6
40.541.1
Auto4.5
Teleop31.0
End6.0
red by 10.2
8880
#30
31.40.1
31.531.4
Auto3.0
Teleop25.4
End3.0
Third
39.10.6
38.038.6
Auto6.4
Teleop28.7
End4.0
red by 9.2
29.90.1
30.029.9
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.1