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Red106
908231.3
204037.5
784829.0
Blue126
173644.4
665131.9
442336.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105130406080120140160180106126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+32
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +12
6Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points21
12Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +20
12Coral scored#17
44Coral points60
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
18Processor points18
16Net points20
34Algae points38
78Total teleop98
Reef
7L4#8
2L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#29
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
106Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2040
#16
37.50.2
37.337.5
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.5
blue by 7.0
44.40.3
43.744.1
Auto9.4
Teleop34.3
End0.8
Second
9082
#15
31.30.2
31.131.3
Auto5.7
Teleop22.4
End3.1
blue by 5.3
36.60.3
35.936.2
Auto8.3
Teleop27.0
End1.4
Third
7848
#17
29.00.2
28.829.0
Auto5.2
Teleop17.7
End6.1
blue by 2.9
6651
#18
31.90.3
31.331.6
Auto4.3
Teleop25.0
End2.6