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Red164
175672.1
248195.4
235824.3
Blue161
421353.4
348839.1
1043541.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20812650100150250164161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+13Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave0
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points30
54Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +11
21Coral scored#20
74Coral points71
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
12Processor points18
8Net points16
20Algae points34
94Total teleop105
Reef
14L4#11
7L3#5
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#6
35Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
164Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.40.6
95.594.8
Auto22.2
Teleop60.9
End12.3
red by 42.0
4213
#13
53.40.7
51.652.3
Auto10.7
Teleop39.3
End3.3
Second
72.10.6
72.271.6
Auto10.9
Teleop52.0
End9.2
red by 30.6
41.60.7
39.840.5
Auto4.5
Teleop31.0
End6.0
Third
2358
#23
24.30.6
24.323.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End6.8
blue by 14.9
39.10.7
37.338.0
Auto6.4
Teleop28.7
End4.0