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Red206
64821.4
11186.8
219451.2
Blue79
11241.2
465569.7
409640.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16717405010015020025030020679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+109Teleop
+125Endgame
+127Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave9
9Coral scored#6
43Coral points28
43Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +103
24Coral scored#9
87Coral points32
5Processor algae#1
7Net algae#1
30Processor points6
28Net points4
58Algae points10
145Total teleop42
Reef
11L4#6
12L3#5
4L2#2
6L1 · trough#2
45Game pieces#17
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +127
2Foul points0
206Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
86.80.9
85.085.9
Auto14.3
Teleop62.6
End9.8
red by 17.0
69.71.9
72.170.1
Auto19.2
Teleop42.2
End8.4
Second
51.20.9
49.450.3
Auto15.3
Teleop34.9
End1.0
red by 10.0
112
#5
41.21.9
43.541.5
Auto1.0
Teleop35.9
End4.3
Third
648
#19
21.40.9
19.720.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End4.5
blue by 18.8
4096
#26
40.21.9
42.540.6
Auto12.3
Teleop27.3
End0.6