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Red158
414366.9
306162.4
641918.7
Blue175
11241.2
465569.7
409640.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1621760100200300400500158175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
10Coral scored#8
48Coral points38
51Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +27
20Coral scored#26
73Coral points92
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
12Processor points12
20Net points28
32Algae points40
105Total teleop132
Reef
11L4#12
9L3#10
5L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
158Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.90.2
66.766.9
Auto14.6
Teleop46.3
End6.0
blue by 2.8
69.70.4
71.772.1
Auto19.2
Teleop42.2
End8.4
Second
62.40.2
62.262.4
Auto17.1
Teleop41.2
End4.1
red by 21.2
112
#5
41.20.4
43.143.5
Auto1.0
Teleop35.9
End4.3
Third
6419
#20
18.70.2
18.418.7
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End1.3
blue by 21.5
4096
#26
40.20.4
42.142.5
Auto12.3
Teleop27.3
End0.6