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Red169
348829.1
1043543.1
233880.9
Blue193
11241.2
465569.7
409640.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15916950100200250169193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+18
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
4Coral scored#8
21Coral points38
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +4
29Coral scored#23
105Coral points81
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#8
12Processor points24
16Net points32
28Algae points56
133Total teleop137
Reef
17L4#13
7L3#5
4L2#9
5L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
169Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#13
80.90.4
80.580.9
Auto24.1
Teleop49.0
End7.9
red by 11.2
69.70.9
70.871.7
Auto19.2
Teleop42.2
End8.4
Second
43.10.4
42.743.1
Auto4.2
Teleop35.8
End3.1
red by 2.0
112
#5
41.20.9
42.243.1
Auto1.0
Teleop35.9
End4.3
Third
3488
#24
29.10.4
28.829.1
Auto5.7
Teleop22.1
End1.3
blue by 11.1
4096
#26
40.20.9
41.342.1
Auto12.3
Teleop27.3
End0.6