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Red175
64821.4
11186.8
219451.2
Blue172
414366.9
306162.4
641918.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172162050100200250300175172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+7
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points20
36Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +24
26Coral scored#25
95Coral points89
2Processor algae#5
1Net algae#4
12Processor points30
4Net points16
16Algae points46
111Total teleop135
Reef
10L4#9
12L3#11
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#38
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +3
12Foul points2
175Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
86.80.2
84.885.0
Auto14.3
Teleop62.6
End9.8
red by 19.9
66.90.5
66.166.7
Auto14.6
Teleop46.3
End6.0
Second
51.20.2
49.249.4
Auto15.3
Teleop34.9
End1.0
blue by 11.2
62.40.5
61.662.2
Auto17.1
Teleop41.2
End4.1
Third
648
#19
21.40.2
19.419.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End4.5
red by 2.8
6419
#20
18.70.5
17.918.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End1.3