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Red171
348829.1
1043543.1
233880.9
Blue91
162546.5
888042.6
173635.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16413405010015020025017191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+76Teleop
+80Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave6
8Coral scored#4
38Coral points18
44Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +56
26Coral scored#11
93Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
111Total teleop55
Reef
9L4#4
12L3#7
7L2#2
6L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#18
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points0
171Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#13
80.90.5
80.180.5
Auto24.1
Teleop49.0
End7.9
red by 34.4
1625
#16
46.50.8
47.346.5
Auto9.2
Teleop28.3
End9.0
Second
43.10.5
42.342.7
Auto4.2
Teleop35.8
End3.1
red by 0.5
8880
#11
42.60.8
43.442.6
Auto6.6
Teleop30.8
End5.2
Third
3488
#24
29.10.5
28.328.8
Auto5.7
Teleop22.1
End1.3
blue by 5.9
1736
#12
35.10.8
35.835.1
Auto8.6
Teleop26.6
End-0.1