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Red195
11241.2
465569.7
409640.2
Blue93
593442.4
229031.1
46147.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17312805010015020025019593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+112Teleop
+100Endgame
+102Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
9Leave3
6Coral scored#2
28Coral points12
37Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +90
29Coral scored#13
106Coral points48
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
18Processor points6
28Net points8
46Algae points14
152Total teleop62
Reef
14L4#7
7L3#4
6L2#2
8L1 · trough#2
45Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +102
2Foul points0
195Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.70.9
69.970.8
Auto19.2
Teleop42.2
End8.4
red by 22.4
461
#27
47.40.7
48.147.4
Auto13.4
Teleop29.3
End4.7
Second
112
#5
41.20.9
41.442.2
Auto1.0
Teleop35.9
End4.3
blue by 1.2
42.40.7
43.142.4
Auto7.7
Teleop24.9
End9.9
Third
4096
#26
40.20.9
40.441.3
Auto12.3
Teleop27.3
End0.6
red by 9.0
2290
#15
31.10.7
31.931.1
Auto9.7
Teleop20.6
End0.8