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Red153
11186.8
51257.4
233880.9
Blue179
465569.7
888042.6
306162.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions200179050100150250300153179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+16
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +15
9Leave3
4Coral scored#8
20Coral points41
29Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +1
22Coral scored#16
78Coral points59
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#8
18Processor points18
12Net points32
30Algae points50
108Total teleop109
Reef
12L4#8
7L3#4
5L2#7
2L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
153Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2Sur
86.81.8
83.881.9
Auto14.3
Teleop62.6
End9.8
red by 17.0
69.70.5
68.869.4
Auto19.2
Teleop42.2
End8.4
Second
2338
#13
80.91.8
84.782.9
Auto24.1
Teleop49.0
End7.9
red by 18.5
62.40.5
62.462.9
Auto17.1
Teleop41.2
End4.1
Third
5125
#25
7.41.8
11.810.0
Auto1.0
Teleop5.3
End1.1
blue by 35.2
8880
#11Sur
42.60.5
39.940.5
Auto6.6
Teleop30.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned