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Red47
348829.1
1739-3.3
64821.4
Blue74
270428.4
162546.5
17116.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5912701001502002504774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+43
Endgame+39
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +26
5Coral scored#11
17Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
23Total teleop49
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
12Foul points0
47Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3488
#24
29.11.8
38.236.5
Auto5.7
Teleop22.1
End1.3
blue by 17.4
1625
#16
46.52.2
52.850.6
Auto9.2
Teleop28.3
End9.0
Second
648
#19
21.41.8
25.824.1
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End4.5
blue by 7.0
2704
#10
28.42.2
34.432.3
Auto5.3
Teleop22.8
End0.3
Third
1739
#23
-3.31.8
-2.6-4.4
Auto1.2
Teleop-4.8
End0.3
blue by 20.0
171
#18
16.72.2
19.417.3
Auto5.4
Teleop10.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsMissed