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Red147
641918.7
544236.7
219451.2
Blue124
11241.2
409640.2
46147.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105165050150200250300147124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points14
34Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +3
15Coral scored#18
53Coral points66
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
87Total teleop90
Reef
9L4#6
6L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
12Foul points0
147Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.21.5
41.442.9
Auto15.3
Teleop34.9
End1.0
red by 3.8
461
#27
47.42.2
55.653.4
Auto13.4
Teleop29.3
End4.7
Second
36.71.5
36.938.4
Auto6.8
Teleop26.2
End3.7
blue by 4.5
112
#5
41.22.2
42.440.2
Auto1.0
Teleop35.9
End4.3
Third
6419
#20
18.71.5
22.824.3
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End1.3
blue by 21.5
4096
#26
40.22.2
47.645.4
Auto12.3
Teleop27.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned