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Red95
348829.1
593442.4
173635.1
Blue80
641918.7
998817.6
421333.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140880501002002509580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+11Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
14Coral scored#11
52Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
66Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#19
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
2Foul points2
95Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.42.5
44.241.7
Auto7.7
Teleop24.9
End9.9
red by 9.2
4213
#28
33.21.1
41.640.4
Auto8.4
Teleop24.0
End0.8
Second
1736
#12
35.12.5
40.638.1
Auto8.6
Teleop26.6
End-0.1
red by 16.4
6419
#20
18.71.1
24.323.2
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End1.3
Third
3488
#24
29.12.5
36.534.0
Auto5.7
Teleop22.1
End1.3
red by 11.5
9988
#14
17.61.8
17.115.3
Auto3.2
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed